Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 12.333343 14.378308 16.603801 19.198787 22.134322 25.344794 29.114109
2025-11-02 8.640246 11.370549 14.649862 18.844868 24.031348 30.193730 38.025876
2025-11-09 6.463726 9.391979 13.199161 18.435412 25.362237 34.114706 45.897800
2025-11-16 5.006002 7.932419 12.006352 17.962475 26.293914 37.358690 52.952719
2025-11-23 3.887169 6.677998 10.815330 17.206888 26.600529 39.629120 58.727401
2025-11-30 3.385398 6.227101 10.666949 17.843285 28.820158 44.580156 68.409113
2025-12-07 2.983755 5.849642 10.549706 18.465877 31.016483 49.597271 78.466313
2025-12-14 2.471709 5.183356 9.861529 18.082043 31.599108 52.237589 85.185080
2025-12-21 2.039482 4.572905 9.166586 17.576891 31.896565 54.407727 91.269948
2025-12-28 1.873732 4.434936 9.267754 18.407749 34.399724 60.114328 103.052963
2026-01-04 1.696729 4.240121 9.233212 18.982429 36.498920 65.286234 114.265253
2026-01-11 1.483311 3.927163 8.929176 19.025692 37.669266 69.000457 123.332924
2026-01-18 1.279772 3.613469 8.614768 19.081757 38.987827 73.248435 133.874883
2026-01-25 1.072213 3.247980 8.148215 18.806927 39.717689 76.616037 143.294973
2026-02-01 0.890059 2.898496 7.655921 18.411805 40.173404 79.524895 152.107161
2026-02-08 0.734345 2.575010 7.162721 17.941781 40.421781 82.055163 160.384186
2026-02-15 0.589713 2.238837 6.576870 17.187357 40.019942 83.353301 166.541040
2026-02-22 0.539067 2.167642 6.619899 17.823212 42.465239 90.032982 182.628126
2026-03-01 0.493083 2.098636 6.656524 18.445219 44.926166 96.878716 199.354783
2026-03-08 0.411905 1.887587 6.284673 18.061756 45.227300 99.614725 208.673448
2026-03-15 0.339590 1.681688 5.886277 17.557092 45.209474 101.710725 216.885356
2026-03-22 0.319428 1.664752 6.019198 18.387149 48.197879 109.902068 236.995754
2026-03-29 0.293279 1.616039 6.050918 18.961279 50.651817 117.150892 255.628884